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ESPN Sports Betting Analyst- Professional sports bettor finding advantages in inefficient markets
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- MS Sport Psychology, University of Utah
Where does the betting value lie in Monday's prime-time matchup between the Chiefs and Rams? Warren Sharp and Preston Johnson provide their analysis to help you place your bets.
Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Sunday morning.
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Rams (-3)
Total: 63.5
PickCenter public consensus pick: 81 percent picked KC
Sharp: The most anticipated game of the year pits the NFL's No. 1 and No. 2 overall teams in total efficiency. Jared Goff won't have his most reliable weapon in WR Cooper Kupp, and no QB-WR combo has had a higher passer rating this season. Fortunately, the Rams are extremely deep and should have plenty of success when passing to Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods.
While the Chiefs defense ranks No. 25 overall, it is 12th against the pass (but that ranking has come against the NFL's seventh-easiest schedule of passing offenses). No passing offense is near the level of the Rams, and even if they miss Kupp, they should have success on the ground. The Chiefs have the NFL's worst run defense, and Los Angeles' rushing offense is the best in the NFL.
On the other side of the ball,