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Special to ESPN.com- Licensed professional engineer with 20 years experience
- Uses advanced metrics to find betting market inefficiencies
- Specializes in NFL and CFB totals
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ESPN Sports Betting Analyst- Professional sports bettor finding advantages in inefficient markets
- Joined ESPN in 2019
- MS Sport Psychology, University of Utah
Where does the betting value lie in Monday's prime-time matchup between the Giants and 49ers? Warren Sharp and Preston Johnson provide their picks to help you place your bets.
Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Sunday afternoon.
New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers (-3.5)
Total: 45
PickCenter public consensus pick: 61 percent picked New York
Johnson: Nick Mullens got his first career start last week against the Raiders and led San Francisco to a 34-3 victory over Oakland. The most interesting part of this game was the line move after the news that C.J. Beathard wouldn't be playing: The 49ers were -2.5 at the time, and wound up closing as 1.5-point underdogs. Is the drop-off from Beathard to Mullens really worth four points? I didn't think so and wound up betting San Francisco. Now nobody could have anticipated the Raiders laying down for 60 minutes, but it was still an extremely impressive performance.