OWINGS MILLS, Md. -- John Harbaugh said the Baltimore Ravens remain "in the hunt" even after falling back to .500 on the season.

But, following an upset loss to the Chicago Bears on Sunday, one has to ask: What exactly are the Ravens in the hunt for?

Baltimore (3-3) has a better shot at landing a high draft pick than reaching the postseason, according to ESPN Analytics. With 10 games remaining, the Ravens have a 35.4 percent chance of getting a top-10 draft pick and a 29.5 percent chance of earning a playoff berth.

"We're going to need to go more than .500 the rest of the way to accomplish what we want to accomplish," Harbaugh said. "We need to get about 10 wins. So, we need to find a way to put wins together."

Getting those 10 victories is going to be a challenge for the Ravens, who sit one game back of the first-place Pittsburgh Steelers in the AFC North. Baltimore is currently projected to win eight games.

The Ravens are considered to be heavy favorites in four of their remaining games: home against Miami, Indianapolis and Cincinnati and at Cleveland. They are decided underdogs in four games: at Minnesota, Tennessee, Green Bay and Pittsburgh. The swing games are home against Houston and Detroit, which could determine whether the Ravens return to the playoffs for the first time since 2014.

"We have to look at ourselves hard and look at ourselves as the reason that we are 3-3 and just correct what we can and move forward," quarterback Joe Flacco said. "It does not feel good. Obviously, losses are going to affect you in a certain way, but we have to keep our head down and keep going."

Baltimore has been sputtering since winning the Super Bowl in 2012. The Ravens have a record of 34-36 (.486) after hoisting the Lombardi Trophy in New Orleans, and those middle-of-the-road performances have continued this year.

The Ravens' 2017 season began with resounding wins at Cincinnati and at home against Cleveland. Baltimore followed that up by getting routed in London by the Jaguars and at home by the rival Steelers.

It looked like the Ravens had turned their season around by winning at Oakland. But Baltimore came home and fell to a one-win Chicago team that was going with a rookie quarterback in his first road start.

For every confident step forward, there's been a deflating one backward.

"There’s nothing more disappointing in the world than mediocrity," linebacker Terrell Suggs said.

Mediocrity has been the theme of this season in the NFL. The Ravens are one of seven teams in the league at 3-3.

On the positive side, Baltimore is a half-game or one game back of five teams in the AFC. Then again, the Ravens are a half-game away from being among the 10 worst teams in the league.

"Spinning your wheels right now, being .500, is in the hunt. We are very much in it," Harbaugh said. "We need to find a way to win games. That is really what it boils down to."

The Ravens have lost three of their past four games and head to play at the Minnesota Vikings (4-2), who have won three times in the past four weeks.

At this point, the Ravens have a 7 percent chance of winning the AFC North and an 8.8 percent chance of getting a top-five pick. Their projected chances at making the Super Bowl are 0.6 percent.

"If you want to be a great team and a great defense, leaders have to make sure that everybody’s in the right mindset," Pro Bowl linebacker C.J. Mosley said after falling to the Bears. "Everybody has to hold themselves accountable. You need to figure out what you need to improve on. We’ve got to move on because it’s still a long season. One loss doesn’t end our season."