- Close
Special to ESPN.com- Licensed professional engineer with 20 years experience
- Uses advanced metrics to find betting market inefficiencies
- Specializes in NFL and CFB totals
- Close
ESPN Sports Betting Analyst- Professional sports bettor finding advantages in inefficient markets
- Joined ESPN in 2019
- MS Sport Psychology, University of Utah
It's Week 11 of the NFL season, and handicappers Warren Sharp and Preston Johnson have you covered with comprehensive betting previews for all of Sunday's games (except the late game, which will be featured in a separate file).
Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Friday morning.
Carolina Panthers (-4.5) at Detroit Lions
Total: 49.5
PickCenter public consensus pick: 78 percent picked Carolina
Johnson: It's tough sometimes to go back to the well and back teams that cost you money the previous week. I bet the Lions at +7 in a losing proposition in Week 10 against Minnesota. The Panthers got smashed in Pittsburgh on Thursday night, and maybe people are anticipating a bounce-back performance against an inferior team, but Detroit isn't that inferior. This opened Carolina -3.5 and has been bet up to -4.5 so far, but my numbers for this game make the Panthers -1.3. I will be making a bet on the Lions at +4.5 or better.
Pick: Lions +4.5
Sharp: The problem for the Lions in this game is that