Friday, September 22
Adelaide Crows vs. Geelong Cats, Adelaide Oval at 7:20pm (AEST)
Crows: B Rory Laird, Daniel Talia, Jake Lever HB Luke Brown, Kyle Hartigan, Jake Kelly C Rory Atkins, Rory Sloane, David Mackay HF Richard Douglas, Taylor Walker, Charlie Cameron F Tom Lynch, Josh Jenkins, Eddie Betts FOL Sam Jacobs, Brad Crouch, Matt Crouch I/C Riley Knight, Paul Seedsman, Hugh Greenwood, Andy Otten
Cats: B Tom Stewart, Tom Lonergan, Zach Tuohy HB Andrew Mackie, Lachie Henderson, Jed Bews C Mitch Duncan, Joel Selwood, Mark Blicavs HF Steven Motlop, Harry Taylor, Darcy Lang F Daniel Menzel, Patrick Dangerfield, Tom Hawkins FOL Zac Smith, Sam Menegola, Scott Selwood I/C Nakia Cockatoo, Jake Kolodjashnij, Brandan Parfitt, Rhys Stanley
TAB verdict: Geelong has the best record (equal with West Coast) this season of winning when they are the underdog.
The Cats have won four and drawn once out of seven times they have been the underdog - defeating Adelaide in round 11, drawing with the Giants in round 15, losing to Adelaide at home by 21 points in round 18, going down to Sydney by 46 points in round 20, beating Richmond by 14 points in round 21, prevailing over the Giants in the final round by 44 points and defeating Sydney in last week's semi final.
Punters are predicting Geelong will cause another upset with 63% of the support with the Cats.
Geelong to win by 1-39 points ($3.40).
TAB odds: Adelaide $1.42 v Geelong $3
Watch Jude Bolton's Crows-Cats Video Preview
Saturday, September 23
Richmond Tigers vs GWS Giants, MCG at 4:45pm
Tigers: B Brandon Ellis, Alex Rance, Dylan Grimes HB Bachar Houli, David Astbury, Nick Vlastuin C Kamdyn McIntosh, Trent Cotchin, Jacob Townsend HF Kane Lambert, Dustin Martin, Josh Caddy F Dan Butler, Jack Riewoldt, Daniel Rioli FOL Toby Nankervis, Dion Prestia, Shaun Grigg I/C Shane Edwards, Jack Graham, Nathan Broad, Jason Castagna
Giants: B Zac Williams, Phil Davis, Heath Shaw HB Nick Haynes, Adam Tomlinson, Nathan Wilson C Dylan Shiel, Stephen Coniglio, Tim Taranto HF Matt de Boer, Harrison Himmelberg, Tom Scully F Steve Johnson, Jonathon Patton, Brett Deledio FOL Rory Lobb, Jacob Hopper, Josh Kelly I/C Aidan Corr, Lachie Whitfield, Toby Greene, Callan Ward
TAB verdict: The Giants have only been the underdog in three matches this season - round 10 against the Eagles when they won by eight points, against Sydney in round 17 when the Swans were victorious by 13 points and in the qualifying final when they lost to Adelaide.
Richmond on the other hand, has been the most reliable team as favourite in 2017.
The Tigers have lost only three of 14 matches when they were expected to win - a two point loss against Fremantle when David Mundy kicked a goal after the siren, a 67-point thrashing at the hands of St Kilda and a 14-point loss to Geelong.
The Tiger Train to steam on into the Grand Final with a victory over 15.5 points ($2.20).
TAB odds: Richmond $1.55 v GWS $2.50