Friday, August 11
Western Bulldogs vs. GWS, Etihad Stadium at 7:50pm (AEST)
Bulldogs: B Shane Biggs, Zaine Cordy, Bailey Williams HB Robert Murphy, Lewis Young, Matthew Suckling C Lachie Hunter, Mitch Wallis, Bailey Dale HF Toby McLean, Travis Cloke, Liam Picken F Marcus Bontempelli, Jack Redpath, Tory Dickson FOL Jordan Roughead, Tom Liberatore, Jack Macrae I/C Luke Dahlhaus, Jake Stringer, Josh Dunkley, Caleb Daniel
Giants: B Aidan Corr, Nick Haynes, Nathan Wilson HB Adam Tomlinson, Phil Davis, Josh Kelly C Lachie Whitfield, Dylan Shiel, Heath Shaw HF Brett Deledio, Harrison Himmelberg, Steve Johnson F Tom Scully, Jonathon Patton, Callan Ward FOL Rory Lobb, Stephen Coniglio, Jacob Hopper I/C Zac Williams, Matt de Boer, Toby Greene, Matthew Kennedy
TAB verdict: The Bulldogs have only caused one upset this season, though it was the last time they started as the outsider, against Essendon in round 19. The punters have slightly favoured the reigning premiers so far in head to head betting, taking the $2.10 on offer for a fifth successive Bulldog win.
TAB odds: Western Bulldogs $2.10 v GWS $1.75
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Saturday, August 12
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle, SCG at 1:45pm
Swans: B Dane Rampe, Heath Grundy, Nick Smith HB Callum Mills, Lewis Melican, Jarrad McVeigh C Isaac Heeney, Luke Parker, Jake Lloyd HF George Hewett, Lance Franklin, Dean Towers F Sam Reid, Kurt Tippett, Tom Papley FOL Callum Sinclair, Dan Hannebery, Kieren Jack I/C Will Hayward, Zak Jones, Nic Newman, Gary Rohan
Dockers: B Ethan Hughes, Joel Hamling, Luke Ryan HB Griffin Logue, Michael Johnson, Stephen Hill C Lachie Weller, Lachie Neale, Bradley Hill HF Shane Kersten, Cam McCarthy, Nick Suban F Hayden Ballantyne, Nat Fyfe, Brennan Cox FOL Sean Darcy, Cameron Sutcliffe, David Mundy I/C Darcy Tucker, Matt Taberner, Danyle Pearce, Joshua Deluca
TAB verdict: No surprises here with Sydney firming from $1.10 to $1.08 to make light work of the Dockers. Punters are expecting a big margin with the line already moving from 42.5 to 46.5 so take the $1.58 on offer for the Swans to win by 40+.
TAB odds: Sydney $1.07 v Fremantle $8.50
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Geelong vs. Richmond, Simonds Stadium at 2.10pm
Cats: B Tom Stewart, Tom Lonergan, Jake Kolodjashnij HB Jed Bews, Lachie Henderson, Zach Tuohy C Andrew Mackie, Patrick Dangerfield, Jordan Murdoch HF Steven Motlop, Rhys Stanley, Cameron Guthrie F Daniel Menzel, Harry Taylor, James Parsons FOL Zac Smith, Scott Selwood, Sam Menegola I/C Zach Guthrie, Brandan Parfitt, Sam Simpson, Jackson Thurlow
Tigers: B Nathan Broad, Alex Rance, Dylan Grimes HB Brandon Ellis, David Astbury, Nick Vlastuin C Kamdyn McIntosh, Trent Cotchin, Shaun Grigg HF Kane Lambert, Shane Edwards, Ivan Soldo F Josh Caddy, Jack Riewoldt, Daniel Rioli FOL Toby Nankervis, Dustin Martin, Dion Prestia I/C Bachar Houli, Corey Ellis, Jason Castagna, Dan Butler
TAB verdict: This is the first time in the past decade that Geelong has been the outsider for consecutive games at Simonds Stadium. In one of the more interesting betting games for the season, the Tigers opened at $3 prior to round 20, but are now into $1.60 following the Match Review Panel's findings. Richmond has been the most reliable team when favourite, losing just twice in 11 matches, so we're tipping the Tigers to win by under 24.5 points ($2.90).
TAB odds: Geelong $2.25 v Richmond $1.65
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Brisbane vs. Gold Coast, Gabba at 4.35pm
Lions: B Daniel McStay, Harris Andrews, Daniel Rich HB Darcy Gardiner, Josh Walker, Sam Mayes C Hugh McCluggage, Dayne Zorko, Ryan Bastinac HF Lewis Taylor, Michael Close, Jarrod Berry F Ryan Lester, Eric Hipwood, Jake Barrett FOL Stefan Martin, Tom Rockliff, Dayne Beams I/C Nick Robertson, Cedric Cox, Rhys Mathieson, Jacob Allison
Suns: B Jarrod Harbrow, Steven May, Max Spencer HB Jesse Joyce, Trent McKenzie, Adam Saad C Pearce Hanley, Aaron Hall, Matt Rosa HF Jarryd Lyons, Jack Martin, Sean Lemmens F Darcy Macpherson, Peter Wright, Ben Ainsworth FOL Daniel Currie, Touk Miller, David Swallow I/C Alex Sexton, Callum Ah Chee, Josh Schoenfeld, Jack Scrimshaw
TAB verdict: Saturday will be the first time in 34 matches that Brisbane has started favourites. The punters have liked what they have seen from the Lions in the past month and have backed them accordingly in this match. Look for the Lions to get off to a flyer and lead by 13+ points at quarter time ($3.25).
TAB odds: Brisbane $1.60 v Gold Coast $2.35
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Essendon vs. Adelaide, Etiahd Stadium at 7.25pm
Bombers: B Andrew McGrath, Matt Dea, James Kelly HB Brendon Goddard, Michael Hurley, Patrick Ambrose C Darcy Parish, Jobe Watson, Dyson Heppell HF Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti, Cale Hooker, Travis Colyer F Jayden Laverde, Joe Daniher, James Stewart FOL Matthew Leuenberger, David Zaharakis, Ben Howlett I/C Martin Gleeson, Josh Green, David Myers, Conor McKenna
Crows: B Jake Kelly, Daniel Talia, Jake Lever HB Luke Brown, Alex Keath, Rory Laird C Brodie Smith, Matt Crouch, Rory Sloane HF Tom Lynch, Taylor Walker, Eddie Betts F Charlie Cameron, Josh Jenkins, Riley Knight FOL Sam Jacobs, Brad Crouch, Richard Douglas I/C David Mackay, Hugh Greenwood, Rory Atkins, Mitch McGovern
TAB verdict: Behind in your tipping competition and looking for a roughie to go for this weekend? Tipping the Bombers here could be the way to go. The last three times Essendon has been the outsider at Etihad Stadium, they have won by 61, 70 and 61 points against St Kilda, Port Adelaide and West Coast. If you believe in history repeating, get on the Dons to win by 60-69 points ($67) and 70-79 points ($101).
TAB odds: Essendon $2.90 v Adelaide $1.42
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West Coast vs. Carlton, Domain Stadium at 5:40pm
Eagles: B Brad Sheppard, Eric Mackenzie, Shannon Hurn HB Elliot Yeo, Jeremy McGovern, Liam Duggan C Andrew Gaff, Matt Priddis, Dom Sheed HF Jack Redden, Jack Darling, Mark LeCras F Drew Petrie, Josh J. Kennedy, Lewis Jetta FOL Nathan Vardy, Sam Mitchell, Luke Shuey I/C Jamie Cripps, Luke Partington, Jackson Nelson, Mark Hutchings
Blues: B Sam Docherty, Liam Jones, Jarrod Pickett HB Lachie Plowman, Jacob Weitering, Jack Silvagni C Kade Simpson, Matthew Wright, Blaine Boekhorst HF Dennis Armfield, Charlie Curnow, Jed Lamb F Sam Kerridge, Levi Casboult, Sam Petrevski-Seton FOL Matthew Kreuzer, Bryce Gibbs, Marc Murphy I/C Zac Fisher, Tom Williamson, Dale Thomas, Billie Smedts
TAB verdict: Rather surprisingly, Carlton has been the best backed to win this match. 52% of the head to head money is on the Blues to cause another upset at Domain Stadium, where four out of the last six games involving the Eagles have been won by the underdog. Look for the Blues to put up an early fight and to lead at half time, before the Eagles storm home for a win ($7).
TAB odds: West Coast $1.16 v Carlton $5.25
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Sunday, August 13
Melbourne vs. St Kilda, MCG at 1.10pm
Demons: B Michael Hibberd, Oscar McDonald, Neville Jetta HB Bernie Vince, Cameron Pedersen, Jayden Hunt C Nathan Jones, Clayton Oliver, Jordan Lewis HF Christian Petracca, Tom McDonald, Jake Melksham F Jeff Garlett, Mitch Hannan, Alex Neal-Bullen FOL Max Gawn, Dom Tyson, Jack Viney I/C Jack Watts, Angus Brayshaw, Billy Stretch, Sam Weideman, Josh Wagner, James Harmes, Corey Maynard (Three to be omitted)
Saints: B Jarryn Geary, Nathan J. Brown, Dylan Roberton HB Jack Newnes, Jake Carlisle, Jimmy Webster C Shane Savage, Luke Dunstan, Jack Billings HF Jack Steele, Josh Bruce, Maverick Weller F Jade Gresham, Tim Membrey, Jack Sinclair FOL Billy Longer, Sebastian Ross, Jack Steven I/C Tom Hickey, Blake Acres, Jack Lonie, Sam Gilbert, Koby Stevens, Brandon White, Daniel McKenzie (Three to be omitted)
TAB verdict: Melbourne has one of the poorer records this season of losing when they are favourite, winning five out of nine matches. They also have an average record at the MCG, where the Saints have won their last four matches. St Kilda to win ($2.25) and keep its finals hopes alive.
TAB odds: Melbourne $1.65 v St Kilda $2.25
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Hawthorn vs. North Melbourne, Tasmania Stadium at 1.10pm
Hawks: B Luke Hodge, Kaiden Brand, Jack Gunston HB Ryan Burton, James Sicily, Blake Hardwick C Liam Shiels, Tom Mitchell, Ricky Henderson HF Billy Hartung, Tim O'Brien, Isaac Smith F Luke Breust, Jarryd Roughead, Ryan Schoenmakers FOL Ben McEvoy, Daniel Howe, Shaun Burgoyne I/C Taylor Duryea, Will Langford, Teia Miles, Kurt Heatherley, Conor Glass, Kade Stewart, Brendan Whitecross (Three to be omitted)
Kangaroos: B Sam Durdin, Robbie Tarrant, Daniel Nielson HB Shaun Atley, Scott D. Thompson, Sam Gibson C Declan Mountford, Jack Ziebell, Ryan Clarke HF Luke McDonald, Braydon Preuss, Trent Dumont F Shaun Higgins, Ben Brown, Taylor Garner FOL Todd Goldstein, Andrew Swallow, Ben Cunnington I/C Jed Anderson, Nathan Hrovat, Aaron Mullett, Jy Simpkin, Kayne Turner, Josh Williams, Cameron Zurhaar (Three to be omitted)
TAB verdict: TAB customers are tipping Hawthorn to bounce back from last week's disappointing loss to Richmond. The Hawks have enjoyed 83% of the head to head money so far, with Hawthorn to win by over 15.5 points a popular option ($1.53).
TAB odds: Hawthorn $1.25 v North Melbourne $4
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Port Adelaide vs. Collingwood, Adelaide Oval at 4.10pm (AEST)
Power: B Jasper Pittard, Tom Clurey, Dan Houston HB Darcy Byrne-Jones, Tom Jonas, Hamish Hartlett C Justin Westhoff, Ollie Wines, Jared Polec HF Sam Gray, Dougal Howard, Robbie Gray F Jarman Impey, Charlie Dixon, Chad Wingard FOL Paddy Ryder, Brad Ebert, Travis Boak I/C Sam Powell-Pepper, Jake Neade, Karl Amon, Matthew White, Aidyn Johnson, Riley Bonner, Brendon Ah Chee (Three to be omitted)
Magpies: B Jeremy Howe, Lynden Dunn, Tom Langdon HB Jack Crisp, Tyson Goldsack, Brayden Maynard C Steele Sidebottom, Taylor Adams, Will Hoskin-Elliott HF Josh Thomas, Ben Reid, Jordan De Goey F Jamie Elliott, Darcy Moore, Alex Fasolo FOL Mason Cox, Callum Brown, Adam Treloar I/C Jarryd Blair, Matthew Scharenberg, James Aish, Tom Phillips, Josh Daicos, Tim Broomhead, Josh Smith (Three to be omitted)
TAB verdict: Collingwood has been well supported to cause an upset in the final match of the round. The Magpies have won three out of four interstate this season, with their only loss against GWS where Steve Johnson kicked the winning goal in the dying seconds. Collingwood to win ($3.15) and keep their slight September hopes alive for another week.
TAB odds: Port Adelaide $1.36 v Collingwood $3.15