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Special to ESPN.com- Licensed professional engineer with 20 years experience
- Uses advanced metrics to find betting market inefficiencies
- Specializes in NFL and CFB totals
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ESPN Sports Betting Analyst- Professional sports bettor finding advantages in inefficient markets
- Joined ESPN in 2019
- MS Sport Psychology, University of Utah
Where does the betting value lie in Sunday's prime-time matchup? Warren Sharp and Preston Johnson provide their picks to help you place your bets.
Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Saturday evening.
Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (-6)
Total: 57
PickCenter public consensus pick: 75 percent picked Kansas City
Sharp: This game comes down to efficiency in the red zone: Which team settles for field goals and which punches in touchdowns? That is because these defenses each have major weaknesses. Both are tremendously bad against the run, with the Chiefs ranking 32nd and the Bengals ranking 25th (despite playing the fourth-easiest schedule), and both rushing offenses are top-10 units. The Chiefs have played four road games and only two home games to date, and they put up 38 and 30 in wins at home, each by double digits.