AFL
Jake Michaels, ESPN Senior Writer 6d

ESPN's ultimate Brownlow Medal predictor and tracker - every vote for 2024

AFL

The Brownlow Medal is the highest individual honour in the AFL. In 2024, ESPN is once again giving you an advantage with our unique predictor, which has correctly picked seven out of the past 10 winners, as well as 88% of all top 10 finishers in that span. 

Most Brownlow Medal predictors use a standard 3-2-1 voting structure, mirroring what the umpires do after each game. ESPN's system, however, does things a little differently. A player can be allocated 3, 2.5, 2, 1.5, 1 or 0.5 votes per game, resulting in a much lower margin for error.

For example, in a game where it's difficult to split two players for best on ground honours, this system would give 2.5 votes to each, as opposed to one being given 3 and the other receiving 2. Over the course of the season, the difference between the predictor and the actual votes a player tallies will be much closer, and therefore far more accurate. There are still six votes allocated to players per match, and can be done through any combination of the above scores.

Here is ESPN's 2024 Brownlow Medal predictor:

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ROUND 7

RICHMOND (42) def. by MELBOURNE (85)
3 - Max Gawn (MEL)
2 - Jake Lever (MEL)
0.5 - Kysaiah Pickett (MEL), Daniel Turner (MEL)

ESSENDON (85) drawn COLLINGWOOD (85)
2.5 - Zach Merrett (ESS)
1.5 - Andrew McGrath (ESS)
1 - Nick Daicos (COLL), Nic Martin (ESS)

GWS (113) def. BRISBANE (59)
3 - Tom Green (GWS)
1 - Josh Kelly (GWS), Lachie Whitfield (GWS), Finn Callaghan (GWS)

PORT ADELAIDE (82) def. ST KILDA (72)
2.5 - Willem Drew (PA)
1.5 - Zak Butters (PA)
1 - Jack Sinclair (STK), Charlie Dixon (PA)

NORTH MELBOURNE (81) def. by ADELAIDE (138)
3 - Rory Laird (ADE)
2 - Jordan Dawson (ADE)
1 - Izak Rankine (ADE)

GEELONG (118) def. CARLTON (105)
2 - Jeremy Cameron (GEE), Patrick Cripps (CARL)
1 - Gryan Miers (GEE), Harry McKay (CARL)

FREMANTLE (95) def. WESTERN BULLDOGS (71)
2.5 - Caleb Serong (FRE), Nat Fyfe (FRE)
0.5 - Bailey Dale (WB), Bailey Banfield (FRE)

GOLD COAST (112) def. WEST COAST (75)
2.5 - Noah Anderson (GC)
2 - Jarrod Witts (GC)
1.5 - Matt Rowell (GC)

HAWTHORN (42) def. by SYDNEY (118)
2 - Isaac Heeney (SYD), Chad Warner (SYD)
1 - Oliver Florent (SYD), Nick Blakey (SYD)


ROUND 6

ST KILDA (64) def. by WESTERN BULLDOGS (124)
3 - Bailey Dale (WB)
2 - Adam Treloar (WB)
1 - Aaron Naughton (WB)

ADELAIDE (75) def. by ESSENDON (78)
3 - Jordan Dawson (ADE)
2 - Nic Martin (ESS)
0.5 - Zach Merrett (ESS), Jake Soligo (ADE)

COLLINGWOOD (123) def. PORT ADELAIDE (81)
2.5 - Will Hoskin-Elliott (COLL)
1.5 - Jordan De Goey (COLL)
1 - Zak Butters (PA), Nick Daicos (COLL)

CARLTON (117) def. GWS (98)
3 - Patrick Cripps (CARL)
2 - Sam Walsh (CARL)
1 - Josh Kelly (GWS)

BRISBANE (37) def. by GEELONG (63)
2 - Max Holmes (GEE)
1.5 - Tyson Stengle (GEE), Dayne Zorko (BRIS)
0.5 - Gryan Miers (GEE), Zach Guthrie (GEE)

WEST COAST (105) def. FREMANTLE (68)
2.5 - Harley Reid (WCE), Elliot Yeo (WCE)
1 - Jake Waterman (WCE)

SYDNEY (110) def. GOLD COAST (57)
3 - Brodie Grundy (SYD)
2 - Errol Gulden (SYD)
1 - Isaac Heeney (SYD)

NORTH MELBOURNE (68) def. by HAWTHORN (113)
2.5 - Jai Newcombe (HAW), Conor Nash (HAW)
1 - Dylan Moore (HAW)


ROUND 5

MELBOURNE (60) def. by BRISBANE (82)
2.5 - Cam Rayner (BRIS)
1.5 - Max Gawn (MEL)
1 - Josh Dunkley (BRIS), Hugh McCluggage (BRIS)

WESTERN BULLDOGS (67) def. by ESSENDON (96)
2.5 - Sam Durham (ESS)
1.5 - Jye Caldwell (ESS)
1 - Jamarra Ugle-Hagan (WB), Zach Merrett (ESS)

GWS (80) def. ST KILDA (79)
2.5 - Rowan Marshall (STK), Bradley Hill (STK)
1 - Lachie Whitfield (GWS)

CARLTON (98) def. by ADELAIDE (100)
3 - Sam Walsh (CARL)
2 - Izak Rankine (ADE)
1 - Charlie Curnow (CARL)

GOLD COAST (109) def. HAWTHORN (56)
3 - Noah Anderson (GC)
1 - Matt Rowell (GC), Sam Flanders (GC), Ben King (GC)

PORT ADELAIDE (66) def. FREMANTLE (63)
2 - Connor Rozee (PA), Caleb Serong (FRE)
1 - Zak Butters (PA)
0.5 - Dan Houston (PA), Josh Treacy (FRE)

GEELONG (139) def. NORTH MELBOURNE (64)
3 - Jeremy Cameron (GEE)
2 - Max Holmes (GEE)
0.5 - Jack Bowes (GEE), Harry Sheezel (NM)

WEST COAST (109) def. RICHMOND (70)
3 - Jake Waterman (WCE)
2 - Elliot Yeo (WCE)
0.5 - Harley Reid (WCE), Tim Kelly (WCE)


ROUND 4

ADELAIDE (63) def. by MELBOURNE (78)
3 - Christian Petracca (MEL)
1.5 - Jordan Dawson (ADE)
1 - Jake Soligo (ADE)
0.5 - Rory Laird (ADE)

BRISBANE (112) def. NORTH MELBOURNE (42)
2.5 - Hugh McCluggage (BRIS), Joe Daniher (BRIS)
0.5 - Lachie Neale (BRIS), Josh Dunkley (BRIS)

PORT ADELAIDE (111) def. ESSENDON (42)
3 - Connor Rozee (PA)
2 - Jason Horne-Francis (PA)
1 - Zach Merrett (ESS)

WEST COAST (78) def. by SYDNEY (108)
3 - Isaac Heeney (SYD)
2 - Errol Gulden (SYD)
0.5 - Jeremy McGovern (WCE), Elliot Yeo (WCE)

FREMANTLE (63) def. by CARLTON (73)
2 - Andrew Brayshaw (FRE)
1.5 - Jacob Weitering (CARL), Patrick Cripps (CARL)
1 - Jeremy Sharp (FRE)

WESTERN BULLDOGS (91) def. by GEELONG (95)
3 - Tom Liberatore (WB)
2 - Marcus Bontempelli (WB)
1 - Gryan Miers (GEE)

GOLD COAST (89) def. by GWS (117)
2.5 - Stephen Coniglio (GWS)
2 - Toby Greene (GWS)
1.5 - Noah Anderson (GC)

RICHMOND (60) def. by ST KILDA (67)
3 - Jack Steele (STK)
1.5 - Shai Bolton (RICH)
1 - Dustin Martin (RICH)
0.5 - Rowan Marshall (STK)

COLLINGWOOD (77) def. HAWTHORN (72)
2.5 - Jordan De Goey (COLL)
2 - Blake Hardwick (HAW)
1 - Josh Daicos (COLL)
0.5 - Tom Mitchell (COLL)


ROUND 3

BRISBANE (72) def. by COLLINGWOOD (92)
3 - Lachie Neale (BRIS)
2 - Jamie Elliott (COLL)
1 - Tom Mitchell (COLL)

NORTH MELBOURNE (81) def. by CARLTON (137)
2 - Harry McKay (CARL), Patrick Cripps (CARL), George Hewett (CARL)

FREMANTLE (69) def. ADELAIDE (34)
3 - Hayden Young (FRE)
1 - Alex Pearce (FRE), Nat Fyfe (FRE)
0.5 - Michael Walters (FRE), Luke Ryan (FRE)

ESSENDON (71) def. ST KILDA (67)
2.5 - Nic Martin (ESS)
1.5 - Zach Merrett (ESS)
1 - Dyson Heppell (ESS)
0.5 - Seb Ross (STK), Jake Stringer (ESS)

PORT ADELAIDE (89) def. by MELBOURNE (96)
2.5 - Alex Neal-Bullen (MEL)
2 - Max Gawn (MEL)
1.5 - Willem Drew (PA)

WESTERN BULLDOGS (106) def. WEST COAST (30)
2.5 - Adam Treloar (WB), Marcus Bontempelli (WB)
0.5 - Bailey Williams (WB), Aaron Naughton (WB)

RICHMOND (82) def. SYDNEY (77)
2 - Nick Vlastuin (RICH)
1.5 - Tim Taranto (RICH), Isaac Heeney (SYD)
1 - Shai Bolton (RICH)

HAWTHORN (70) def. by GEELONG (106)
3 - James Worpel (HAW)
1 - Mitch Duncan (GEE), Tanner Bruhn (GEE), Tom Stewart (GEE)


ROUND 2

ST KILDA (94) def. COLLINGWOOD (79)
2.5 - Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (STK)
1.5 - Jack Higgins (STK)
1 - Jack Steele (STK)
0.5 - Marcus Windhager (STK), Josh Daicos (COLL)

ADELAIDE (77) def. by GEELONG (96)
3 - Tom Stewart (GEE)
2 - Gryan Miers (GEE)
0.5 - Jordan Dawson (ADE), Rory Laird (ADE)

NORTH MELBOURNE (76) def. by FREMANTLE (102)
2.5 - Luke Jackson (FRE)
2 - Caleb Serong (FRE)
1 - Luke Davies-Uniacke (NM)
0.5 - Andrew Brayshaw (FRE)

HAWTHORN (38) def. by MELBOURNE (93)
3 - Christian Petracca (MEL)
2 - Bayley Fritsch (MEL)
0.5 - Alex Neal-Bullen (MEL), Christian Salem (MEL)

SYDNEY (131) def. ESSENDON (101)
2.5 - Isaac Heeney (SYD), Tom Papley (SYD)
0.5 - Chad Warner (SYD), Zach Merrett (ESS)

WESTERN BULLDOGS (115) def. GOLD COAST (67)
3 - Marcus Bontempelli (WB)
2 - Cody Weightman (WB)
1 - Tom Liberatore (WB)

RICHMOND (92) def. by PORT ADELAIDE (122)
3 - Zak Butters (PA)
1.5 - Willem Drew (PA)
1 - Connor Rozee (PA)
0.5 - Todd Marshall (PA)

WEST COAST (43) def. by GWS (108)
3 - Tom Green (GWS)
1 - Kieren Briggs (GWS), Lachie Whitfield (GWS), Josh Kelly (GWS)


ROUND 1

CARLTON (86) def. RICHMOND (81)
2 - Patrick Cripps (CARL)
1.5 - Nick Vlastuin (RICH), Harry McKay (CARL)
1 - Mitch McGovern (CARL)

COLLINGWOOD (69) def. by SYDNEY (102)
2.5 - Chad Warner (SYD), Isaac Heeney (SYD)
1 - Nick Daicos (COLL)

ESSENDON (107) def. HAWTHORN (83)
3 - Archie Perkins (ESS)
1.5 - James Worpel (HAW)
1 - Zach Merrett (ESS)
0.5 - Andrew McGrath (ESS)

GWS (121) def. NORTH MELBOURNE (82)
2.5 - Tom Green (GWS), Jesse Hogan (GWS
0.5 - Josh Kelly (GWS), Stephen Coniglio (GWS)

GEELONG (76) def. ST KILDA (68)
2.5 - Patrick Dangerfield (GEE)
2 - Max Holmes (GEE)
1 - Oliver Dempsey (GEE)
0.5 - Rowan Marshall (STK)

GOLD COAST (60) def. ADELAIDE (54)
2.5 - Matt Rowell (GC)
1.5 - Touk Miller (GC)
1 - Noah Anderson (GC), Sam Flanders (GC)

MELBOURNE (109) def. WESTERN BULLDOGS (64)
2 - Clayton Oliver (MEL), Max Gawn (MEL), Christian Petracca (MEL)

PORT ADELAIDE (120) VS. WEST COAST (70)
3 - Connor Rozee (PA)
2 - Zak Butters (PA)
1 - Jason Horne-Francis (PA)

FREMANTLE (93) def. BRISBANE (70)
3 - Caleb Serong (FRE)
1.5 - Luke Jackson (FRE)
1 - Joe Daniher (BRIS)
0.5 - Andrew Brayshaw (FRE)


OPENING ROUND

SYDNEY (86) def. MELBOURNE (64)
2.5 - Isaac Heeney (SYD)
2 - Brodie Grundy (SYD)
1.5 - Nick Blakey (SYD)

BRISBANE (85) def. by CARLTON (86)
2.5 - Harry McKay (CARL)
2 - Patrick Cripps (CARL)
1 - Charlie Curnow (CARL)
0.5 - George Hewett (CARL)

GOLD COAST (99) def. RICHMOND (60)
3 - Matt Rowell (GC)
1 - Noah Anderson (GC), Sam Flanders (GC), Wil Powell (GC)

GWS (114) def. COLLINGWOOD (82)
2 - Tom Green (GWS)
1.5 - Callum Brown (GWS)
1 - Nick Daicos (COLL), Brent Daniels (GWS)
0.5 - Josh Kelly (GWS)

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